The big idea
🗂️
Frameworks expose reasoning, they do not decide
Their real audience is you, six months later, when you have forgotten what you actually knew.
Problem Solving & Decision Making · Lesson 1
Decision Frameworks
beginner⏱ 17 min · 7 cards
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Decision or Outcome?
“Ran a red light late at night, arrived home safely.”
Judge the decision on how it was made, not how it turned out.
Over one instance, outcome says little about decision quality. Over many, it says a great deal.
Judge how the decision was made, not how it turned out.
Key term
The intuitive error
It worked out. Was it a good decision?
tap to reveal ↻
Resulting
Not necessarily. Someone who runs a red light and arrives safely has not decided well. Judging by outcome punishes sound reasoning that got unlucky and rewards recklessness that got away with it.
Match method to decision
How much process?
Tap each.
Nuance
Three minutes, highest return
Maester Note
Before the outcome is known, write what you decided, why, and what would tell you it was wrong. Hindsight will otherwise rewrite what you believed.
Quick check
What is 'resulting'?
You did it
Nice work
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